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Market Snapshot: Dow up 700 points as stocks head for largest gain in a month

U.S. stocks rose sharply Tuesday, on track for their best session in nearly a month, as the dollar retreated and corporate earnings have mostly kept ahead of expectations.

How are stocks trading
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +2.43% was up 704 points, or 2.3%, to 31,780.
  • The S&P 500 SPX, +2.76% jumped 100 points, or 2.6%, to 3,931.
  • The Nasdaq Composite COMP, +3.11% rose 340 points, or 3%, to trade at 11,697.

On Monday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 216 points, or 0.7%, erasing an earlier gain of more than 350 points. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite each fell 0.8%. The S&P 500 has fallen six of the last seven sessions and has shed 19.6% year-to-date.

What’s driving markets

Deepening pessimism among investors could serve as a contrarian signal, setting the stage for some near-term upside, analysts said. A closely watched monthly survey by Bank of America showed global fund managers at their most pessimistic since 2008.

Kristina Hooper, chief global market strategist at Invesco, told MarketWatch that stocks were well-positioned for a rebound as corporate earnings reports haven’t been as gloomy as many had feared, while the easing of the dollar has added to tailwinds for U.S. stocks.

“We haven’t heard doom-and-gloom prognostications just yet,” Hooper said, describing the general tone of corporate earnings reports as the second quarter reporting season moves past the big banks.

Stocks have also benefited from the decline in long-term inflation expectations seen in the University of Michigan sentiment data released late last week, according to Hooper.

The tone turned more positive Tuesday following a report Monday suggesting Apple AAPL, +2.67% was slowing hiring and spending which revived concerns that higher borrowing costs and rampant inflation were damping corporate confidence. However, International Business Machines Corp. reported “strong” results, which weighed on the company’s shares even as they appeared to bolster the outlook for stocks. The rest of the earnings picture from Tuesday was decidedly mixed.

Tuesday’s rally, on track to potentially be the largest daily gain for stocks since June 24, was led by the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite, as megacaps Apple AAPL and Alphabet GOOG GOOGL bounced back from Monday’s losses. All of the S&P 500’s 11 sectors were in the green, with communication services, financials, industrials and consumer discretionary sectors up 3% or more.

Looking ahead, investors are awaiting earnings from Netflix Inc. Investors will want to see if the company’s outlook for subscriber growth has improved following a Wall Street Journal report that the company is engaging with potential advertisers for a planned lower-cost advertising-subsidized tier of content.

Read: Netflix is pulling out all the stops to reverse a slide in subscribers

Underpinning sentiment, however, and helping deliver gains on Tuesday, is a mostly positive second-quarter earnings reporting season, where 57% of those companies to have reported so far have beaten earnings per share and revenue expectations, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence.

IBM IBM, -5.26% results were not well-received, however. The tech company beat expectations, but worries about how a strong dollar may impact future earnings pushed the stock lower by 6.1%.

Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar retreated against the euro following reports that the European Central Bank is planning to interest rates by 50 basis points later this week, instead of the 25 it had initially signaled. The euro EURUSDwas up 0.5% against the dollar Tuesday afternoon.

Concerns about economic growth are reflected in the U.S. bond market, too. As the Federal Reserve has tightened monetary policy, investors have pushed 2-year yields BX:TMUBMUSD02Y above 10-year yields BX:TMUBMUSD10Y, an inversion of the yield curve that is deemed a harbinger of potential recession. The curve remained inverted Tuesday even as Treasury yields rose by four basis points.

Data showed U.S. housing starts fell 2% in June, while building permits were down 0.6%. Companies in focus

Companies in focus
How are other assets faring
  • U.S. crude futures CL.1, +1.30% gained 1% to trade near $100 a barrel following reports that Russia’s Gazprom had claimed force majeure on some buyers highlighted tensions in the energy space.
  • The ICE Dollar index DXY, -0.60% fell 0.8%.
  • Bitcoin BTCUSD, +8.23% rose 1.3% to trade near $22,590.
  • Asia markets were mixed following Wall Street’s overnight reversal. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng HSI, -0.89% fell 0.9% and the Shanghai Composite SHCOMP, +0.04% was flat. Japan returned from a day off to play catch-up, the Nikkei 225 NIK, +0.65% adding 0.7%. In Europe, the Stoxx 600 SXXP, +1.38% rose 1.4% and London’s FTSE 100 UKX, +1.01% gained 1%.

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